Capital outflows, stablecoin drama and realized loses

by Jeremy

This week’s on-chain knowledge report by the analytics firm Glassnode seems to be into three main occasions — the depegging of the USDC stablecoin, web capital outflows and futures open curiosity knowledge.

Stablecoin prices
(Supply: Glassnode insights)

This has precipitated USDC and DAI to commerce at decrease values of $0.88 and $0.89 respectively. DAI’s worth drop is as a result of it’s backed by stablecoin collateral of solely about 65.7%. Gemini’s GUSD and Paxos’ USDP additionally dipped beneath their $1 peg, whereas BUSD and Tether traded at a premium.

Tether, particularly, traded at a premium between $1.01 and $1.03 throughout the weekend, which is ironic as a result of it’s seen as a secure haven within the face of potential dangers within the closely regulated US banking sector. That is the primary time because the LUNA-UST venture collapse that there was volatility in stablecoin costs.

DAI / USDC

Stablecoins, significantly USDC, have grow to be the first type of collateral supporting DAI. This pattern has been constant since mid-2020, with USDC making up round 55.5% of direct collateral and a good portion of Uniswap liquidity positions, totaling to about 63% of all collateral.

In response to Glassnode knowledge, dependence on stablecoins for collateral raises questions in regards to the decentralized nature of DAI. This latest occasion highlights how DAI’s worth is carefully tied to the normal banking system because of its collateral combine, which additionally consists of 12.4% in tokenized real-world property.

DAI: Collateral make up
(Supply: Glassnode Insights)

Tether USDT dominance

In mid-2022, Glassnode reported that Tether’s dominant place within the stablecoin market had been declining structurally since mid-2020. Nevertheless, because of regulatory actions towards BUSD and considerations concerning USDC stemming from its latest depegging, Tether’s dominance has rebounded to over 57.8%, it’s highest degree in 18-months.

Since October 2022, USDC has maintained a dominant market share of between 30% and 33%. Nevertheless, it stays to be seen whether or not its provide will lower because the redemption window reopens on March 20. Then again, BUSD has skilled a big decline in latest months, with issuer Paxos ceasing new minting, and its dominance falling from 16.6% in November to solely 6.8% at current.

Stablecoins supply dominance (relative)
(Supply: Glassnode insights)

Mixture Capital Outflows

Estimation of the true capital inflows and outflows, Glassnode estimates that the final month, the market has seen a reversal outflow of -$5.97B, with 80% of {that a} results of stablecoin redemption (BUSD primarily), and 20% from realized losses throughout BTC and ETH.

Market aggregrate realized net value position change
(Supply: Glass node insights)

SVB fall out on share of BTC and ETH on exchanges

Roughly 0.144% of all BTC, and 0.325% all ETH in circulation was withdrawn from trade reserves, demonstrating an analogous self-custody response sample to the FTX collapse. On a USD foundation, the final month noticed over $1.8B in mixed BTC and ETH worth move out of exchanges.

BTC and ETH percent balance on exchanges
(Supply: Glass node analytics)

 

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