Sunday, June 16, 2024

Here is why miner capitulation is definitely excellent news for Bitcoin

by Jeremy

Bitcoin’s extremely unstable value has devastated the vast majority of the crypto market and is now dragging miners down with it. Whereas typically thought of the inspiration of the Bitcoin community and its most resilient gamers, miners are affected by quickly lowering revenue margins.

Bitcoin mining problem at present stands at simply 1% beneath its all-time excessive and is squeezing a big share of miners out of the community. Mining profitability is about to succeed in one among its lowest factors, as mining income per terra hash dropped beneath $5,000 at first of September.

btc miner revenue
Graph exhibiting miner income per terra hash (Supply: Glassnode)

Confronted with elevated mining problem and lowering profitability, miners had been pressured to promote their Bitcoin holdings en masse. Miners bought over 12,000 BTC since July when the entire Bitcoin provide held in miner addresses reached its peak of 1.84 million BTC.

Knowledge from Glassnode has proven {that a} related capitulation occurred in November 2021 when Bitcoin reached its all-time excessive. On the time, miners bought round 30,000 BTC. If miners observe an identical sample all through the autumn, we may see a good greater sell-off within the coming weeks.

btc miner net position change
Graph exhibiting the 30-day change of the Bitcoin provide held in miner addresses (Supply: Glassnode)

Whereas hash ribbons present that the worst of the capitulation is over, shrinking miner balances paint a special image.

btc balance miner wallets
Graph exhibiting the Bitcoin steadiness in miner wallets (Supply: Glassnode)

Nevertheless, the huge sell-off we’ve seen up to now two months may truly be good for Bitcoin in the long term. Whereas brutal, fluctuations in mining profitability purge the community from unprofitable operations and weak miners unable to bear the volatility. When the market stabilizes, the Bitcoin community might be left standing on the shoulders of probably the most resilient and most worthwhile miners — strengthening it for future cycles and volatility.

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