In prediction markets, merchants guess on verifiable outcomes of real-world occasions in specified time frames. Sometimes, they purchase “sure” or “no” shares in an final result, and every share pays $1 if the prediction comes true, or zero if not. (On Polymarket, bets are settled in USDC, a stablecoin, or cryptocurrency that trades one-to-one for {dollars}; different platforms, together with Kalshi and PredictIt, pay out common dollars.)
