Key factors:
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Bitcoin has loved six weeks of its newest “value discovery uptrend” — however a correction is now due.
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Evaluation reveals that in earlier halving cycles, BTC value tends to halt its second uptrend after 5 to seven weeks.
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A brand new dip now would nonetheless permit contemporary all-time highs in This fall.
Bitcoin (BTC) could begin the final week of its newest “value discovery uptrend” on Monday with the value caught beneath $120,000.
New findings launched Sunday by fashionable dealer and analyst Rekt Capital present that BTC value is working out of time to make new highs.
Bitcoin hits traditional “value discovery correction” zone
Bitcoin dangers retaining its current $124,500 all-time excessive in place — if it follows historic patterns.
Updating X followers on bull market progress, Rekt Capital famous that Bitcoin is about to start out the seventh week of its second “value discovery uptrend” since its 2024 halving.
After every halving occasion, the following bull market accommodates a succession of such uptrends, every accompanied by a correction. The timing of every section all through Bitcoin’s lifespan has been roughly comparable.
“Traditionally, Bitcoin Value Discovery Uptrend 1 tends to finish between Week 6 & 8 of its uptrend. Whereas in Value Discovery Uptrend 2, Bitcoin tends to finish its uptrend between Week 5 & 7,” Rekt Capital summarized.
“Week 7 of Value Discovery Uptrend 2 begins tomorrow.”
A linked chart from earlier within the 12 months reveals a possible upside goal for the second uptrend at just under $160,000.
“But when we expect critically about earlier Value Discovery Corrections throughout the cycles… Then solely one in all them began in Week 8 (2017), one in all them began in Week 6 (2021) and and two of them began in Week 7 (2013 and 2025),” a e-newsletter on the subject noticed in July.
In 2025, Bitcoin’s first corrective section took the value from close to $110,000 to below $75,000 — a roughly 30% drawdown not unusual in earlier halving cycles.
New BTC value all-time excessive in This fall?
Persevering with, fellow dealer Daan Crypto Trades famous that BTC/USD has not but delivered a “inexperienced” August and September back-to-back.
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Nevertheless, a dip might kind the pretext for a bigger cycle high to come back towards the top of the 12 months.
“We are likely to see a fast flush adopted by an explosive This fall in a lot of the bull market years,” a part of an X publish acknowledged Sunday.
“Any bigger flushes within the subsequent 1-2 months could be welcomed and will very properly be the final bigger dip for the This fall finish of the 12 months rally which we see so typically. If not, that is fantastic too however I believe it could pull ahead a much bigger excessive timeframe high as properly.”
Knowledge from monitoring useful resource CoinGlass reveals BTC/USD up 2.1% in August, already barely above the 1.8% common. September, against this, has on common delivered a 3.8% value drawdown.
This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.
