In betting markets, the upper it prices to vote in favor of a given consequence, the extra probably that consequence is taken into account. On Polymarket, it at present prices 71 cents to guess in favor of a second Trump nomination and 32 cents to guess towards. In sensible phrases, what this implies is that if Trump wins the nomination, those that guess in his favor are set to earn $1 for each 71 cents they guess. If he loses, they get nothing.
