Bitcoin analyst eyes ‘V-shape’ BTC value bounce as RSI hits 5-year low

by Jeremy

Bitcoin (BTC) stayed stubbornly anti-trend on Aug. 22 as $26,000 turned a magnet for intraday BTC value motion.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Supply: TradingView

BTC value “dying chop” returns

Information from Cointelegraph Markets Professional and TradingView tracked a 3rd day of sideways efficiency for BTC/USD.

Regardless of being closely oversold, based on relative power index (RSI) readings, Bitcoin refused to supply any type of restoration bounce from ranges final seen two months prior.

Market contributors have been stressed, with widespread dealer Jelle referring to intraday actions because the “dying chop.”

“At this stage it looks like a recreation of hen to see who’s going to make a transfer to interrupt the chop,” monitoring useful resource Materials Indicators mentioned.

Analyzing liquidity on the Binance BTC/USD order e book, Materials Indicators famous a broad lack of liquidity, growing the potential for a pointy transfer in both route.

“The market is ready to see if extra bid or extra ask liquidity goes to be interested in the vary,” it defined on X (previously generally known as Twitter).

“Up to now, we’re seeing small quantities of bid liquidity ladder up from $20k nearer to the energetic buying and selling zone, however no liquidity of any dimension (new or moved) has been stacked into the vary defending value from a Decrease Low.”

The implications have been nonetheless doubtlessly very severe for bulls, with a decrease low (LL) apt to threat even the $20,000 help going ahead.

“For sure, printing a LL on this TF has macro implications. Printing 2 LLs would push #BTC all the way down to sub $20k ranges,” Materials Indicators concluded.

BTC/USD order e book information for Binance annotated chart. Supply: Materials Indicators/X

RSI strengthens “V-shape restoration” thesis

Zooming out, hope remained that Bitcoin might rescue its general uptrend.

Associated: Bitcoin is in ‘new bull cycle’ — Metric that bottomed earlier than 70% beneficial properties

In a devoted YouTube replace on Aug. 22, Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of buying and selling agency Eight, famous the closely oversold indicators being generated by RSI.

On 12-hour timeframes, the RSI measured lower than 19 on the time of writing — close to its lowest ranges because the 2018 bear market backside. Each day ranges have been related, reaching their lowest because the March 2020 COVID-19 cross-market crash.

“Each time we see such a transfer, you get a type of V-shape restoration again up, and it finds equilibrium on a better ground,” Van de Poppe mentioned about earlier BTC value flash crashes.

He added that it was “very probably” that Bitcoin might stage a comeback to deal with $26,500 or extra subsequent.

BTC/USD 12-hour chart with RSI. Supply: TradingView

“Present #Bitcoin value motion jogs my memory of September 2020 — simply earlier than the beginning of the earlier bull market,” Jelle in the meantime recommended alongside a comparative chart.

“Absorption and slowly grind larger right here for some time — and I might see this play out equally.”

BTC/USD comparative chart. Supply: Jelle/X

This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.