Traditionally, there was a powerful correlation between the S&P 500 and the M2 cash provide, with each shifting in tandem over the previous 5 years. For instance, through the early 2020 pandemic, M2 bottomed out at $15.2 trillion in February, simply earlier than the S&P 500 hit a low of round 2,409 factors in March. An analogous sample occurred in October 2023, when financial coverage tightening led M2 to backside at $21 trillion. Shortly afterward, the S&P 500 reached a low of 4,117. This connection highlights the crucial position of liquidity in driving inventory market efficiency.
