BTC worth stays beneath $19K amid hopes This fall will finish Bitcoin bear market

by Jeremy

Bitcoin (BTC) hit new weekly lows into Sept. 28 as danger asset drawdown continued in a single day.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

Dealer: “First new lows” earlier than This fall restoration

Information from Cointelegraph Markets Professional and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD falling to $18,461 on Bitstamp, down virtually $2,000 versus the day past’s excessive.

The change of path got here in lockstep with shares, which turned pink after initially heading marginally greater on the Wall Avenue open.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index finally completed the day down 0.25% and up 0.25%, respectively.

Crypto, nonetheless, did not recoup its losses, and whereas hopes have been for This fall to convey a few extra stable restoration, merchants have been betting on the ache persevering with first.

Fashionable Twitter account Il Capo of Crypto appeared to verify that he favored October copying final yr’s efficiency — one thing which earned it the nickname “Uptober.”

In feedback, he added that he was “anticipating bullish This fall. However first new lows.”

Fellow dealer and analyst Rekt Capital, in the meantime, drew consideration to the hurdles Bitcoin wanted to beat on month-to-month timeframes.

“Already a pointy BTC rejection on the inexperienced ~$19800 degree,” he wrote in a tweet concerning the upcoming month-to-month candle shut:

“Continued see-sawing in and round this degree is to be anticipated as $BTC approaches its Month-to-month Shut. Most essential might be how the Month-to-month Candle really closes relative to the inexperienced Vary Low.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Rekt Capital/ Twitter

Rekt Capital added {that a} shut beneath that inexperienced line would imply an exit from the month-to-month vary in place since late 2020.

Betting on bears bowing out

Discussing when the bear market of 2022 may finish, opinions differed over the usage of knowledge from earlier halving cycles.

Associated: Extra historical Bitcoin leaves its pockets after 10-year hibernation

Importing a comparative chart, Luke Martin, host of the STACKS Podcast, famous that it had been 322 days since Bitcoin’s final all-time excessive of $69,000.

After the 2017 prior all-time excessive, BTC/USD spent 364 days in a bear market, suggesting that the tip might be due if historical past have been to repeat itself.

“Cycle timing right here is perfect,” Charles Edwards, creator of crypto asset supervisor Capriole, reacted.

Others have been much less satisfied, with tedtalksmacro drawing consideration to the truth that the macro setting was nothing prefer it was in 2018, one thing Martin acknowledged.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Luke Martin/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported, the US Federal Reserve has given no dedication to halting the rate of interest hikes pressuring danger belongings, together with crypto, this yr.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially replicate the views of Cointelegraph.com. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, it’s best to conduct your individual analysis when making a choice.