Polymarket detailed that “this market will resolve to ‘Sure’ if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear gadget in an offensive capability by Dec. 31, 2022, 11:59:59 p.m. ET. In any other case, this market will resolve to ‘No.’” It added that to fulfill the “Sure” standards, the detonation of a nuclear gadget have to be in an offensive capability, should not be a take a look at and should both be claimed by the Russian Federation or extensively accepted to be from the Russian Federation.
