There are actually lower than 50,000 blocks to go earlier than the Bitcoin halving triggers.
A tweet from Bitcoin Woods highlighted the milestone, including that this places the halving date on April 22, 2024.
Based mostly on this timeline, the occasion will happen in 342 days. Nonetheless, that is anticipated to fluctuate relying on blocks closing in the end than the designated ten-minute interval.
Bitcoin group awaits halving
The Bitcoin halving refers to an inbuilt 50% discount within the mining block reward that happens each 210,000 blocks – often each 4 years.
This upcoming halving would be the fourth in Bitcoin’s historical past, slicing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to three.125 BTC. There are 33 halvings programmed into the protocol, with the final set to happen in 2140 when the block reward zeros.
With a set most provide of 21 million cash, halvings decelerate the variety of cash coming into circulation – thus hardwiring a shortage mechanism into the protocol. In idea, this course of impacts supply-demand dynamics, appearing as a tailwind to cost.
This expectation has performed out primarily based on previous knowledge, concocting a story that halvings are bull market catalysts.
Nonetheless, it’s value allowing for that having three knowledge factors just isn’t statistically rigorous. Moreover, macroeconomic uncertainty was not a consider earlier halvings.
Previous halvings
Bit Harington charted the Bitcoin value on a logarithmic scale, marking factors for 1 yr earlier than, the halving itself, and the post-halving high.
The primary halving – occurred on November 28, 2012, slicing the block reward from 50 BTC to 25 BTC.
- The value 1 yr earlier than was roughly $2.
- On the time of the halving was $12.35.
- By the highest, round January 2014, the value was round $1,000.
This equated to a 7,997% enhance from halving to post-halving high.
The second halving – occurred on July 9, 2016, slicing the block reward from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC.
- The value 1 yr earlier than was roughly $270.
- On the time of the halving was $650.
- By the highest, round December 2017, the value was round $19,800.
This equated to a 2,946% enhance from halving to post-halving high.
The third halving – occurred on Might 11, 2020, slicing the block reward from 12.5 BTC to six.25 BTC.
- The value 1 yr earlier than was roughly $8,500.
- On the time of halving was $9,756.
- By the highest, round November 2022, the value was $69,000.
This equated to a 607% enhance from halving to post-halving high.
In all three instances, the value moved greater going into 1 yr earlier than, to the halving, to the post-halving high. As anticipated, with BTC now priced in 5 figures, the share enhance from halving to the post-halving high has decreased.
If Bitcoin follows the identical sample this time, the value is anticipated to be greater than $27,000 by the market high. COO at Onramp Jesse Myers places the highest value at between $120,000 and $240,000.
