Polymarket survives post-election drop-off although quantity falls 60%

Polymarket survives post-election drop-off although quantity falls 60%

by Jeremy

Polymarket, the main platform for prediction markets, exhibited groundbreaking exercise throughout its markets over current months. With the US presidential election, main sporting occasions, and important crypto milestones as central subjects, the information illustrates important consumer drop-off after the election. Nevertheless, quantity and exercise largely stay in an upward pattern even with out the landmark market.

Polymarket user activity (Source: Dune Analytics API)
Polymarket consumer exercise (Supply: Dune Analytics API)

Per Dune Analytics knowledge, Polymarket recorded peak engagement for the “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market, with each day consumer participation exceeding 49,000 within the days surrounding the election. Sporting occasions just like the Champions League and the Tremendous Bowl have additionally seen sturdy curiosity.

Particularly, the “Tremendous Bowl Champion 2025 market” maintained regular consumer participation and each day figures constantly reaching the 1000’s. This reinforces the platform’s post-election skill to draw a broad viewers base past monetary and political predictions, tapping into mainstream leisure and sports activities.

Different markets, which primarily relate to potential crypto worth actions, additionally garnered constant traction, reflecting the platform’s enchantment amongst members looking for market-aligned insights.

Buying and selling volumes inform a parallel story, with the US Election producing disproportionate curiosity. As detailed within the knowledge, the cumulative buying and selling quantity surpassed $2.4 billion month-to-month, signaling a sturdy intersection of finance, hypothesis, and socio-political developments.

Polymarket monthly volume (Source: Dune Analytics API)Polymarket monthly volume (Source: Dune Analytics API)
Polymarket month-to-month quantity (Supply: Dune Analytics API)

Nevertheless, month-to-date November knowledge suggests a fall to round $80 million per day, down from the $300 million common through the lead-up to the election. Nonetheless, if the US election markets are faraway from the evaluation, there may be nonetheless a continued each day improve in consumer exercise.

Polymarket daily volume (Source: Dune Analytics)Polymarket daily volume (Source: Dune Analytics)
Polymarket each day quantity (Supply: Dune Analytics)

Polymarket’s efficiency throughout these months and continued curiosity in markets outdoors US politics highlights its persistence within the prediction market area and knowledge indicating sturdy consumer engagement and important buying and selling volumes.

Present developments, subsequently, counsel the crypto prediction market bubble has not popped because the finish of the US election. Whereas consumer interplay has fallen considerably, the information is definitely encouraging.

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