Tesla promoting Bitcoin final 12 months turned out to be a $500M mistake

by Jeremy

The worth of Bitcoin (BTC) has grown by greater than 50% since Tesla unveiled its roughly $1-billion BTC gross sales in July 2022. In different phrases, the Elon Musk-owned electrical carmaker would have made an extra $500 million if it had waited till in the present day to promote. 

Are Tesla’s Bitcoin trades worthwhile? 

Tesla infamously dumped practically $936 million of its complete Bitcoin holdings in Q2 2022, accounting for 75% of its remaining reserves, to safe $64 million in revenue. On the time, Bitcoin was buying and selling about 70% decrease than its report excessive of $69,000 in November 2021.

BTC/USD month-to-month worth chart that includes Tesla’s Bitcoin gross sales purchases and gross sales. Supply: TradingView

Initially, Tesla bought $1.5 billion value of Bitcoin in February 2021 at a mean worth of $36,000. The corporate then offered BTC value $272 million to spice up its Q1 2021 accounting by $101 million.

The corporate has however held on to its remaining BTC as of This fall 2022 regardless of the worth of Bitcoin sitting at bear-market lows of round $16,000 on the time. Right this moment, Tesla holds 10,725 BTC value round $330 million, nearly 15% beneath the procurement worth from February 2021.

Total, Tesla made roughly $165 million in revenue from two separate Bitcoin gross sales. As of April 14, it sits atop an unrealized lack of round $56.6 million on its remaining BTC holdings, whereas its internet revenue so far sits at round $108 million. 

Will Tesla dump its remaining BTC holdings?

Curiously, Tesla’s earlier Bitcoin gross sales got here from weaker free money flows. As an illustration, the Q1 2021’s BTC sale value $272 million made up practically 93% of Tesla’s free money flows in the identical quarter.

Tesla free money flows efficiency by quarter. Supply: Statista

Equally, Tesla’s Bitcoin gross sales in Q2 2022 got here as its free money flows declined 73% versus the earlier quarter. Each gross sales counsel that Musk relied on Bitcoin as a haven throughout Tesla’s money crunch phases.

The Tesla CEO defined on the time that the sale was made to “show liquidity of Bitcoin as an alternative choice to holding money on a stability sheet.”

In the meantime, Wall Avenue analysts estimate that Tesla’s free money stream in Q1 2023 might be practically $2 billion, up 40% versus the earlier quarter. This could cut back the possibilities of Tesla dumping any important Bitcoin quantity within the close to time period.

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This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.