The primary presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris on Sept. 10 didn’t embody any dialogue of crypto or Bitcoin, even when the dialogue coated the economic system. The candidates centered on conventional subjects corresponding to overseas coverage, immigration, and abortion rights.
Previous to the talk, Trump held a slight lead in prediction markets. On crypto-based Polymarket, Trump’s odds had been at 53% in comparison with Harris’ 46%. Nonetheless, post-debate, each candidates are tied at 49% every on Polymarket, a seven-point swing. As of press time, $865,183,218 has been wager on the end result of the election. On PredictIt, a non-crypto market out there within the US, the shift was extra pronounced, with Harris’ odds rising to 56% and Trump’s falling to 47% after the talk. Harris has additionally taken a slight lead on conventional betting websites.
A Polymarket market on the final result of the talk stands at 98% for Harris successful the talk with slightly below $1 million wagered.
The talk’s final result appeared to negatively influence Bitcoin’s worth. Following the occasion, Bitcoin’s worth dropped by roughly 3%, falling from round $58,000 to $56,600. It has since recovered to over $57,000 as of press time. This decline coincided with Trump’s decreased odds within the prediction markets.
It’s price noting that Bitcoin had already skilled a major 8% drop on Sept. 6, when Trump had his largest lead throughout Polymarket and closest odds on PredictIt. This means that Bitcoin’s worth actions are not fully correlated to Trump’s probabilities of successful the talk.
Regardless of the dearth of direct dialogue about crypto in the course of the debate, the market’s response signifies that buyers and merchants are carefully watching the election’s developments and their potential implications for the crypto business. Trump has expressed assist for the crypto sector, whereas Harris has not but clearly articulated her stance on digital belongings, leaving crypto out of her coverage paperwork.
