VanEck Head of Digital Property Analysis Matthew Sigel confirmed hypothesis that the corporate’s Solana spot ETF proposal bets on Donald Trump successful the US presidency.
The deadline for VanEck’s utility is ready for March 2025, which might put it properly past the aftermath of the US Presidential elections in November.
Sigel merely responded with a easy:
“Can verify.”
The analysts stated approval odds for every ETF are “close to zero” if a Democrat victory leaves Joe Biden in workplace and “higher … however not assured” if Trump wins the election. Trump would seemingly appoint a brand new SEC chair to exchange the company’s present chair, Gary Gensler.
Surveillance sharing
One other challenge seen as a hurdle to potential Solana ETF is the dearth of a futures market on CME, which specialists imagine was a key think about spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs gaining the regulatory inexperienced gentle.
Grayscale notably argued in its case towards the SEC that the surveillance sharing agreements in place for the CME Bitcoin futures have been replicable for its proposed spot ETF and enough to detect and stop fraudulent actions.
The agency claimed that the SEC failed to supply an affordable rationalization for treating spot Bitcoin ETFs in another way from futures ETFs when it comes to surveillance-sharing agreements.
The case basically revolved round whether or not the SEC’s demand for a surveillance sharing settlement particularly for a spot Bitcoin ETF was justified and whether or not the SEC utilized its requirements persistently throughout several types of Bitcoin-related ETFs.
For the reason that SEC has now accepted spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum, Sigel believes VanEck won’t must display a CME futures market round Solana to acquire its ETF. He beforehand acknowledged:
“Surveillance sharing agreements with spot crypto exchanges can obviate want for CME futures.”
Bloomberg agrees SSA is sufficient
Bloomberg analysts agreed that an SSA “must be sufficient” however concluded VanEck’s strategy will “solely work if there’s new management on the SEC and/or a literal act of Congress.”
They famous that previous ETF filings, notably BlackRock’s June 2023 spot Bitcoin ETF utility, included surveillance-sharing agreements (SSAs) with Coinbase, main different companies to introduce comparable clauses. Nonetheless, the analysts added that the agreements in the end proved pointless.
The analysts additionally stated that the SEC’s ongoing securities lawsuits towards a number of exchanges, together with Coinbase and Kraken, additionally complicate SSAs between exchanges and ETF issuers.
